View Single Post
  #24  
Old 11-02-2007, 09:52 PM
craig1120 craig1120 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 844
Default Re: Whee two pairs... [censored].

That's a big flop c/r. If next's range for him is right and you think he is calling down any 10 go ahead and 1/2 pot twice and get it in. High variance but most +EV line.

I really doubt that he's stacking off w/ JT/QT though bc he's prob not good enough to do that.

If you think JQ is still in his range after the flop c/r and that he'll call another street with it and JT/QT, go ahead and 1/2 pot turn. If not, you have to decide what you think he's value betting if you check turn to him. If you decide it's AT+, you have to fold. If it's KT+ you can call as long as you don't think you'll give up too much EV on the river bc it's marginal.

On the river it's the same process.

These are the spots that separate marginal players from big winners.
Reply With Quote