Re: NL $200: AA turn question.
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Check the turn. Sure, he might have a draw like JQ or 78, but that is unlikely and the board is otherwise drawless. That means you are either way ahead or way behind, and you should therefore strive for a little pot control. So, check the turn, then call up to pot-sized bet on the river.
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Other than two things I agree with your analysis. The first is that 78 flopped the nut straight. The second is that I would definitely not call a PSB on a variety of rivers. If you're checking turn you need to re-evaluate the board on the river because your turn check allows his holdings a chance to catch up (say he has a straight draw or pair + 1 card straight draw, etc.) Most people won't pot every river just because you checked behind.
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