View Single Post
  #8  
Old 11-06-2007, 04:36 PM
elindauer elindauer is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: analyzing hand ranges
Posts: 2,966
Default Re: Borgata 80-160 AA hand - I get check/raised twice


Folding is out of the question. Given your description of villain's preflop play this session, the turn 9 is a very safe card for you. Having ellimnated QQ from his range, you are a huge favorite to have the best hand. If you think he can play AQ this way, and right now that seems very reasonable, then you should 3-bet.

Note that even if you add 66 AND Q9s to his range, you are still a 55% favorite to have the best hand. And that's giving no weight to him playing KQ or a bluff / semi-bluff this way.

Folding is out... it's much closer to a 3-bet. In fact, 3-betting is exactly what you should do unless you are able to strongly discount AQ.

good luck.
Eric
Reply With Quote