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Old 07-18-2007, 09:30 PM
0evg0 0evg0 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: mano a mano
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Default Re: Marginal spot w AQ ITM $100r

[ QUOTE ]
I really think is a fold. I do not think Lil's 3 betting range here is as wide as people
are suggesting due to the stack sizes. Lil knows GB is good and that GB knows that Lil is very
aggressive. Given this, I doubt Lil thinks GB is going to raise from LP with 13 BBs, with Lil sitting on a
monster stack on the button, and fold to a shove often enough to make reraising light a good play.

Let's say Lil's range is 66+,AT+,KQ and BR's range is TT+,AQ+.

[/ QUOTE ]

range looks good for lil, but again I don't think BR's range is correct.

Please run the numbers for the same range for Lil and the range I suggest for BR just to make sure that is in fact a call. If it's not, then this hand is definitely a fold because I doubt BR is shoving any ligther than my range ever. But I think you'll see that if my range for BR is correct then it is definitely a call, and while I may not have played with BR as much as some of you, he's not that bad preflop that his range is TT+/AQ here IMO.
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