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Old 11-29-2007, 02:46 AM
rwperu34 rwperu34 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Tempe, AZ
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Default Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

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Again, like most poker players you seem to think doing the most EV thing in every situation is the best option. Its clear that it isn't the best option in every scenario. Back to the drawing board.


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Whether it's always the best solution is arguable. In this case, the highest EV is the ONLY solution!

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Do you not think of concepts like contracts/variance/etc? Or really are you just [censored] stupid?

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Do you mean variance like my winrate might be 2.0 to 5.0 or it might be 1.5 to 2.5? Because I know which one has higher variance and I know which one I'd prefer to have.

Spelled O-U-T; Young has a higher variance, but he's got a higher ceiling and floor. What you are looking to avoid is risk, and in this case, Garza is carries more.

What did I miss on the contract? It looks to me like both of these guys are going to make < $500k in 2008 and 2009. I hope you're not trying to argue some marginal value that Garza might have in 2013?
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