Thread: 1/2 live 10-10
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Old 11-20-2007, 06:11 PM
akak akak is offline
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Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 214
Default Re: 1/2 live 10-10

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Hmm...Just ran the equity calculation. I put villain on:
A7s, A9, T8s, 97s, 98s, 86s, 65s, 55+
Hero is 51% favorite. So unless I missed a part of his range, I guess the answer is push.

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You missed 44 (bottom set) but it does not change equity much.

Our weighting of the hands in this range and subsequent decision depends on a read of how likely villain is to be splashing around in there with a suited connector against a $15 raise, then playing a draw or small pair aggressively.
One thing I mentioned to my friend was that his flop bet was somewhat small (1/2 pot) and may have invited the aggression. If he had bet $35 (2/3 pot) or more then a fold to the raise might be clear.

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I'd play the majority of his range the same way. He's on the button, so he'll have position for the whole hand. The fact that you bet small on the flop weakens his range. Unless you want to jump up to the next level (no read given that we should), I think a push is correct.
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