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Old 11-26-2007, 12:50 PM
RapidLearner RapidLearner is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 43
Default Re: 400 NL - LITTLE HELP HERE?

Please describe the behavior of this "nitty reg noob idiot."

In a vacuum with only the stats 13/10/2, I don't like this. I feel the only hand you get to fold out is a very poorly played AA. Basically, you have a hand that is beating all the hands you'd fold out and losing to all the hands that will call you.

What are you expecting to see here that's losing? KQ? QQ? That's the top of the range that's losing to you, and I don't think they're calling, so he's certainly not calling with worse.

What are you expecting to see fold here that's beating you? AA? This hand would probably bet the turn. AK? Probably wouldn't call the flop. I also feel that all made straights and flushes will look you up here, and all sets that were bad enough to check the turn will still think they're slowplaying a monster, call you, and take your money.

Your hand is too middle-of-the-road in showdown value to do a play like this. You need to gain more than 50% equity here at showdown, and I just don't see it happening.
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