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Old 05-30-2007, 02:25 AM
DCal Zone DCal Zone is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 221
Default Re: Marginal/\"High Variance\" play against EmpireMaker2

A ton of hands that beat me can be taken out of his range preflop. He'd 3bet overpairs, AJ sometimes, and 99 and 77 sometimes.

When he raises me on the flop, I am very confident I am ahead of his range. Like I said, he likes to raise in position on flops a lot to try to take down the pot or take control of the hand. The turn is pretty much the best turn imaginable for my hand. I think he'd just call a lot of the time with just a 9 on the flop, and no draws got there. My hand is also pretty transparent as being marginal, as I'd 3bet the flop with a set or a big draw.

Given that I'm ahead on the flop, the turn is a very good card, and I look weak, I don't like folding on the turn. Shoving is better than calling imo because there's a ton of scare cards that could come on the river. He can also call this with some worse hands (overcards and flush draw, top pair+flush draw)
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