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McGwire was certainly a better batter than Kingman -- I'm not saying the two are *exactly alike*. However, Kingman is the most comparable career stat line to McGwire of those who are out there, and given the controversy, I just don't see him getting in.
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Dissimilar
Kingman = career .236/.302/.478
McGwire = career .263 /.394 /.588
More similar
Kilebrew = career .256/.376/.509
McCovey = career .270/.374/.515
Cash = career .271/.374/.488
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Most similar players (
http://www.baseball-reference.com/m/mcgwima01.shtml)
Jim Thome (826)
Jose Canseco (808)
Carlos Delgado (803)
Harmon Killebrew (783) *
Willie McCovey (767) *
Jason Giambi (756)
Juan Gonzalez (739)
Norm Cash (736)
Dave Kingman (732)
Manny Ramirez (730)
*HOF
Two HOF in top 5, a couple of other probables as well. Also Kingman is in there.