Re: Swings in NLCASH
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This is exactly the same as a losing streak problem in HUSNGs. If I have a 60% winrate, then the probability of losing 4 games in a row is 2.56%.
But the odds of having a 4 game losing streak in a series of 100 games is *clearly* much higher than 2.56%, because the chance of having a 4 game losing streak *just in the first 4 games* is exactly 2.56%.
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Yes , I know all that .
I hope you realize that you're answering a completely different question than your risk of ruin of busting with 20 buy-ins .
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