Re: Bottom set flop action deep 400nl
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there are a decent amount of big draws + villain would be less likely to raise a worse draw this deep
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I don't think many draws but the NFD can really be considered big. OESD + FD isn't really worth 200bbs here for villain. He is probably priced in to calling though, which isn't a good thing.
How likely villain is to raise various weakish draws like an OESD or bare medium/weak FD is pretty player dependent.
Also, our hand looks exactly like either top pair or a draw if we call, and villain probably expects us to fold a lot of our range to a turn bet. Of those big draws, a lot of them will commit on a blank turn where our equity is much greater. FWIW, I would likely fold to a big turn bet if the flush completes.
This is all assuming villain is a good solid tag who can read hands and situations well, of course.
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