Re: NL100 AQ... how many barrels?
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Checking the turn seems best according to his stats. As played, betting on the river is bad and I would just give it up at this point.
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I thought checking the turn might be best, but he called really quickly on the flop so I put him on a med strength made hand... any 9, or 88-33. Therefore I felt I might be able to fold him out with another barrel.
The turn was not a good bluff card, but I was UTG and felt like flexing and fired again, this time he thought for a few seconds before calling.
Riv low and he chkd after 2 secs... hmmm. At this point I really feel like I have his hand nailed at 9x or 77-44 and a third bullet might look very strong. Pushing and $45 might give the same result, but there are $57 out there that I'd love to have.
I bet 45 and he tanked down to 5-10 secs on time bank and called with 98. Bummer. Maybe mertzo is right and this is just not a good spot to 3 barrel. However, in that case I also think chking the turn is WAYYYY better.
With the timing tells, what do you guys think about a turn chk and a river AI raise?
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