[jcl]

how is that a bad presumption. im not saying 80% of them will turn out to be good nor even that 40% or 20% of them will but i certainly think the chance of someone being good is greater when they have more than doubled up. The same goes for people with obviously 2+2 or pocketfives names. why wouldn't that be a smart initial presumption to work with? if u sit at the casino and see a guy sitting with a mountain of chips do u presume 'all equally bad until i find otherwise?' when this guy is clearly more likely to be good than the guy who has half a buyin remaining