Re: I fold trips on the river
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In this case you'd have to be close to 92% sure you are beat given the size of the pot to lay this down for one bet, which I don't think you can be. It certainly looks like you are beat here but you only have to win this situation less than one time in 10 to come out ahead.
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Translation: I'm too scared to lose a decent size pot and too lazy to try to figure out if the odds of my calling are better or worse than what the pot is offering me.
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Not at all, in fact figuring out the odds the pot is offereing you to the certainty that you are beaten is exactly what my post was about in the first place. Though it certainly looks like you are beaten are you not good in this spot 8.1% (assuming my rough 92% po calculation) of the time? If so call, if not fold. In this case it seems like an easy call considering any Ax will most likely raise river thinking they are good.
Someone with more experience please correct what I'm saying (preferably politely) if I am way off so that I can understand the error of my ways, but this is a concept I find alot of truth in.
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