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Old 10-22-2007, 01:16 AM
ShaneP ShaneP is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 80
Default Re: Variance is Fractal

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The very nature of what variance "IS", is fractal. This makes every process both of the transparent and non transparent kind also fractal.


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variance is due to randomness, fractals are not randomly generated

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actually fractals can be randomly determined, or deterministic. In some sense, I think the OP could be close to correct, though his thinking may be off a bit. The returns from a stock market can be approximated by fractals (once you remove the base 12% or so expected annual return), and I would think poker winnings would look fairly close to stock returns. I know most Sharkscope graphs look similar.

Though to be honest, I have no idea what that metaphysical BS is in the grandparent. Nor do I think applying a fractal process to the modeling of poker returns gives significantly better results than an approximation by a normal distribution. In the stock market example, the biggest difference in the two approximations is that the tails of the distribution of stock returns is slightly larger than expected from a normal distribution. But those are low probability events, and at least the downward swing of the negative outliers would probably be interrupted by a player stopping for the day or some other external factor.

Shane
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