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Old 10-17-2007, 04:55 PM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
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Default Re: ESPN\'s new show E:60 (2 thumbs down!)

first 'story' I saw on the show

first of all, there are huge reporting issues right now--
64% is not a verified record of Dr. Bob
he was 57% going into 2006

he had a losing year in 2006--Vegas wasn't hemoraging money
what is the scale and numbers to show Vegas was having an awful week

explain how big a one to three point movement is...easy to use stats to show how a typical person getting one point better than the line will win at sports betting

Bob is also getting crushed in 2007...come on...his 64% is total phooey...shouldn't a journalist check on that


also, 64% is higher than a .350 career--64% over a long run would be at least a .450 hitter

how is Bob's stats/regression analysis/misc any different than what thousands of other punters do? He needs to be shown as doing something different than the scores of other 'pro' pickers

what proof is there, other than Fezzik's musings, that there are over $5M being bet on Dr. Bob's picks?--is this journalism or not
FYI-Fezzik is a successful pro gambler on sports--he has some connections around Vegas, but how would he know this number?

lack of exploring the alternative path---maybe it wasn't Bob's clients making too much money, perhaps the sportsbooks were just shading v idiot bettors like they always do--myth of balanced action

Dr.Bob has consecutive losing seasons going IIRC---where is the reporting?

I mean...2 years ago I ran 75% or something
the long haul has still only been 51% publicly posted

if you watch the 'pitch' session for Rachel's idea, she has a much better original presentation than the actual story showed

How do ESPN's reporters not know the basics regarding sports gambling and stat analysis in picking winners?

How do they not realize the basics of line setting in Vegas?
Do they not realize the stat and number crunchers that Vegas hires are damn good and how they incorporate watching the game?

How does the story not follow up on Dr. Bob's verification of his record and why he doesn't bet the games himself (he's answered that in the USA today)?

LOL @ ESPN reporters not realizing how big a role gambling plays in sports

also, while Schapp life-tilted me (some people do win at sports betting), his complaints about enocuraging gambling has some merit. However, Nichols didn't follow up enough on how it is near impossible to follow Dr. Bob anymore and win. The lines move way too fast. The only way to win is to take the opposite side after the silly followers of Bob push the line way too far.
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