Re: 33 and a draw vs. overpair (I think)
Assuming anyone has stats on you is stupid, much less someone running 31/16/1. He's probably playing nothing other than his cards.
Both of your raises were spew imo. I would have just called the flop minbet, because neither SB nor MP is folding an overpair and you're obviously getting a good price to draw. Once MP makes that small raise, I think you're correct in assuming that he holds an overpair, so just call and CRAI if you hit. I don't expect him to fold to your shove very often. Seems spewy to me.
|