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Old 09-10-2007, 02:28 PM
Thremp Thremp is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
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Default Re: Read this before starting a \"Who Do I pick in Survivor\" Thread

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Kyro,

You're leaving out the separation concept which is really the only concept that matters in survivor pools.

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I have never heard of the separation concept. Any chance you could explain it either here or via PM?

I mean, if I'm going to suck at FF, I might as well try to pwn at Survivor.

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Basically you don't want to pick the same teams as the majority of your your league.

If you are picking outright winners, and 30% of the league is on a 70% favorite. You increase you expectation by picking a 65% fave if there are only a few people on it. You can carry this out to the extremes. Its very similar to winning NCAA pools (since it applies to all pools), you want to choose upsets that not everyone chooses.

The advice you gave is fine, but winning pools is kinda like BJ tournies etc its not about making the play the wins the most often, but that has the highest expectation.
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