Re: 33 - bottom set, super coordinated board, DEEEEEP.
The villain is not a thinking player. But I mean, if you raise the river and he shoves what do you do? I don't think he would shove with a worst hand. But even bad players usually seem to grasp the concept that they are not getting raised on the river a whole lot 200BB's deep unless they're up against a real hand. Even if they were thinking, they'd know that with their calling station image you would think they would call and only raise boats.
I guess it comes down to the basic concept: Do you beat more than 50% of the hands he is calling a raise with on the river?
He prices you in to call the turn for sure. Definitely possible he has an overboat but sometimes there's not much you can do. I think I would just call his rivet bet.
He bets pretty close to pot which donks generally do with monsters. The board pairing would have to scare him a little if he had a straight.
So yeh just call the river imo. Tough spot.
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