[willie24]

obviously your logic here is correct. it's just that we are talking about 2 different things. you are saying "i think i know the answer because of this and this and this (logic)- so anyone who has the other answer must be unlikely to be right" yes, obviously. if we know the answer, hell, we can say she is 0% to be right.

i am saying - if we don't know their answers, just that they are both illogical (with the dog being less logical than my mom) both are 50% to be right. the important part is that it doesnt matter who is "more illogical", their chance of being right is equal. as it turns out, the dog is more illogical, but is right.

again: this only works if we know for certain that neither has a chance of being logically correct, and the question has only 2 answers.

perhaps the idea could be summarized : illogical is illogical. there are not varying degrees. being close doesn't matter.