View Single Post
  #51  
Old 11-20-2007, 12:46 PM
chezlaw chezlaw is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: corridor of uncertainty
Posts: 6,642
Default Re: Wait! Wait! - A Perfect Example?

[ QUOTE ]
But what about the Monty Hall problem? A logical approach will always ascertain the correct answer, while an illogical approach will not (can you give an example of how an illogical approach will yield a correct answer, and do so at least 50% of the time?). A coin flip will yield the correct answer 50% of the time.

Explain this, and you'll have me convinced.

[/ QUOTE ]
I once backed a horse called 'always switch' that came in at 100:1 so I switch.

or I watched this program a few times and the people who didn't swicth won each time so the law of averages says I should switch.

chez
Reply With Quote