Re: 25/50 TPTK vs tay
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imo if we are beat on flop it's more likely to be AA and not 4x.
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agree, JJ+ seems quite likely
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agree w this
can i move him off JJ-QQ with a shove?
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naw, but i think his turn bet is slightly less likely to be jj qq now...
Still, I don't think you should fold, I think his range includes a lot of bluffs-- though this is just conjecture, never played w/ taylor.
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i don't agree that his turn bet doesn't look like JJ/QQ
i think it looks just as much like that as anything else. he probably CR bluffs this board since it's so dry and your c-bet% is prob high on it. i definitely think he's capable of going turn and river for value with QQ/JJ, i have no idea why he wouldnt actually. if his CR is a bluff a high %, we're calling with a T a lot (or other pairs, sometimes peeling the turn obv) and i think he shoul dbe pounding QQ/JJ for value continuously- if i CRed QQ/JJ on this flop, i'd probably bet turn and shove river on any river except a T..
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