Re: Reasonable play? Or Ridiculous?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i think a25 or a57 or something to that nature is a very good chance. You have no low or real chance at the low. Im just saying that you are risking $114 to win $90 at best and that is only 56% of the time as you said. So you are risking $114 to win an EV of $50. So your overall EV is [(180+114+114)/2](.56) - (180+114+114)(.44) = 114.24-179.52 = - $65.28 . Therefore you should fold this
[/ QUOTE ]
I don't follow your reasoning.
[/ QUOTE ]
Neither do I. You can knock it down to [(180+144+144)/2]*(.56 - .44). Which doesn't mean anything at all, this doesn't account for the range of his hands or anything.
|