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Old 03-24-2006, 12:02 AM
Jiggymike Jiggymike is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: DC Busto
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Default Re: AJs in BB approaching $55 final table as bigstack

Two final things. For one, I guess I was wrong in the above post, because pushing is a sort of bullying; there's always a chance that you'll get called when trying to be a bully. Also I did some preliminary calculations (in my head while walking to the train) so they probably aren't great but here's what I found. Assume that he folds 50% of the time and calls 50% of the time, which I think seems reasonable. Then out of the tiems he calls, 50% of the time he has a lower pp so you have a coinflip and the other 50% he turns up a hand that either has you dominated or is a pair between your two cards - JJ, QQ, and KK. I'll just say that AA is negligible. Anyway, doing the math in my head, I got it to be almost exactly even; in any case, it is probably + or - 1000 EV. Too small a profit for too big a gamble at this point in my opinion.
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