Re: the proof is in the pudding
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If he's actually 60% to win a game, his "true" line for that game is -150.
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Well, yeah, obviously, but we were talking about his true line to pick 60/100, weren't we? Wouldn't that be ~+100 (assuming a 60% capper)?
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I guess it depends on how you look at it.
Even if the true line is +100, he's still being offered +150, still wildly +EV.
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