Re: [NL200] AA with coldcalling small blind => time to lay`em down ?
So, villain never has the NFD here?
Because the NFD has, like, a billion outs vs. even KK. You'd be crazy not to play the NFD aggressively. I might also include 66 as it has 10 outs vs. overpairs.
Hard for me to believe that his range is not more like this:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
29,700 games 0.001 secs 29,700,000 games/sec
Board: 3s 4s 5d
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.409% 57.31% 02.10% 17022 622.50 { AdAh }
Hand 1: 40.591% 38.49% 02.10% 11433 622.50 { QQ-JJ, 66-33, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs }
And you can't give him a straight here. If he can have 7s6s, than he can have all kinds of other flush draws+overs as well and that increases his range and our equity.
He may be nitty, but he's probably not going to play a big draw passively. And you have more equity than usual vs. a set here with your gutshot.
If his range is pure PPs pre-flop and he isn't going to give you action with JJ/QQ then check behind on the flop. Hard to believe anyone is that nitty, but w/e, you guys know him.
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