Re: Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?
1/2. No idea really
3. Almost zero. Unless a routine mid-range pass breaks into a long, long TD, it ain't going to happen.
Well, I think I see the point you're driving at. In #1, you have the option to go for 2 after the TD, which allows for you to go ahead by 3. That would require the opposing team to get a TD for the win rather than a FG or TD. By getting a FG, the chances of your opponent getting a winning score is higher even though it puts you in the lead for the time being since they have more scoring flexibility.
Therefore, if the chances of 1 + 3 happening are greater than 2, then it may make more sense to go for the TD.
Something like that. I'm probably wrong though.
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