[1p0kerboy]

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800k hands of running above expectation with sets this yr means I might be in for a rude awakening.

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you are likely never going to run at expectation on all things at the same time, even if running at expectation overall

ie hot on sets, cold on flushes/AA etc

something like simply getting favorable turn cards can really help and it nearly impossible to quantify(note I'm not necessarily even talking about stuff like turning TP, sets, simply getting good bluff cards, or cards that hit your opponent but not as good as you, or draws missing when you want them too, hitting when you want)

none of that is quantifiable

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QFT

I mostly quit running the luck sims because they tell such a small part of the story.

If I want to know whether I've been unlucky or not I look at how much I am up (or down). I pretty much know my expectation.