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Old 11-28-2007, 08:15 AM
ama0330 ama0330 is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
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Default Re: NL 25 Over + nut flush? Call or fold??

I like a fold preflop. The difference between calling and folding on the flop is whether your ace (or even your ten) is live. Given villain stats I think its pretty safe to say you are drawing to only 9 outs so its really close, you are getting 1.77:1 on your call which means you need about 36% to call. If he has one pair you have 38% equity and if he has a set you have like 27%, if he never has a FD you have 31% equity vs a range of 2prs and sets so you should fold. He has to have a lot of lower FD's and crappy Jacks here to make this a call.
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