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Old 11-27-2007, 08:40 PM
HajiShirazu HajiShirazu is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Writing the shortstack manifesto
Posts: 3,258
Default Re: ($24) I forgot how to play AK

I would rather fold than call, you hit 1 in 3 but it's worse than that because often he has the same hand as you or at least one of your cards and he wins when you both miss and you fold to his c-bet when the flop comes like this. So you hit maybe 25% and you wont stack him with an actual better hand enough of those times to have the implied odds to play for a pair.
Shove is read dependent. Against these stats I would put him on the 5.4% open range which is 99+ AQ+ AJs. If he folds 99 and AJs it's a fold already (-.17) and it's worse if he folds AQ to your shove (-.57). I would guess he has to be opening mid pairs and AJ/ATs and folding some of the midpairs to your shove for a shove to actually be right.
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