Re: River value spot
Personally I would just valuetown, river goes check-check waaaay to often against this villain, and hoping he will raise a blockbet is somewhat optimistic.
But then again, wtf do I know, you are cts lol.
The counter argument would be that if you firmly trust your read that "I think he's going to try to win the pot", then checking and letting him make a big stab at it could be good. However, despite the fact that his initial intentions were possibly to take the pot away from you, I just think he is now going to be happy with half the pot for zero risk, and check it back.
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