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Old 11-26-2007, 05:42 PM
derosnec derosnec is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: mmmmm chickfila
Posts: 6,159
Default Re: 50NL KK gets raised on paired flop

my thinking:

since no reads, i'd go with typical lines and combos

lines: people generally slowplay trips on non-drawy (and often drawy) flops. people do take this line with an overpair

combos: beating us: eight A8, four K8, 8 Q8, etc. three 55; so about 40 or more (since people generally don't call pf with some hands like 82, 83, etc); hands that are losing to us: 6 combos of each: 99-QQ = 24. but you'd expect QQ and maybe JJ to reraise pf a decent % of time. so maybe weight combos down to like 18 to 20 or so.

then, given his flop line, i'd reduce weight of 40 or more combos beating us to like 10 or 12 since people will only raise here about 25% to 30% of the time with trips or better (if even that much).

conclusion: i'd repop him somewhere
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