[tannenj]

lol.

not the case at all, because the tag i described in my post above will have a much higher blue line than a tag whose blue line is even with his green one.

consider a tag, in theory, who has middle pair on the river and elects to bet it. once in a while he gets called by better, once in a while he gets called by worse, and very often the villain folds. his bet is neutral ev but decreases his gap.

another tag tends to check in that spot. his showdown (blue) line increases, but his play is no worse than the other guy's.

good play = good win rate. absolutely nothing else whatsoever matters.

edit:

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im sure tannen assumed no one would think he meant over anything less than a significant sample something like a 4-5ptbb winner within a 95% confidence interval

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this too, of course