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Old 11-26-2007, 12:51 PM
Blzdwrath Blzdwrath is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 90
Default Re: Dun wanna miss a value bet on the river, with top T pair, mid kicker

I would check behind on the river here. I think we are getting check raised far more often here than we are getting called by a worse hand. Look at the villians actions on the earlier streets. He raises PF with what most likely is a good hand TT+, AQo+? He raises the flop. This can be either because he has an overpair and hes running protection or he has UI overcards and wants a freecard. Well his action on the turn makes the freecard play unlikely so we have to give him credit most of the time for a made hand. On the river I think villian is either A. trying to get max value you from you or B. taking a weak line because you might have been calling down with a 4. Either way I don't think betting here is +EV given villians action.
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