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Old 11-26-2007, 01:57 AM
DaveC101 DaveC101 is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Sledding down EV graph
Posts: 28
Default Re: Which street is bad? All of it? None of it? Damn you good...?

My analysis:
Preflop: Blind vs. Blind...his 3 bet doesn't mean QQ-AA at all. He may assume you're trying to steal and he tries to resteal, figuring he has position on you in case you do call.

Flop: Pretty dry...flush draw's there. You check and he bets out 80 into 108. Doesn't really narrow his range down. With you checking, do you think he would check behind with a set? or maybe QQ-AA? To me, looks kind of like pair of Jacks, or 99/1010. When you reraise him, he may figure he only has 150 left if he called and will end up having all his money in the middle by the turn, so he might as well get it all in with KJ or QJ (possibly the flush draw as well) and try to make a tough decision for you.

If the play made it to the turn and a club came, or a Q or K, i would definitely consider folding to a strong raise, lots of his range would hit two pair, top pair over yours, or a flush.

Sorry if my thoughts seem messy or jumbled, just thinking out loud here.
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