Re: Nut flush on paired river vs Call Station
I don't think I'd push If I bet. I'd throw out a $200 - $250 bet.
But I'd check behind here.
I mean if hes that bad and your 70% sure he has a flush then throw out some value bets, but I'm not sure how you can be so positive he wouldn't c/r you with KKxx or even JJxx w/ hearts just thinking your flop bet is weak.
I think if he had a Kh flush draw that he would lead this turn and I think any lower flush can only call a river shove and expect to beat a bluff. Once the board pairs and you shoved, what would a Queen high flush or worse beat really? Even against this player, I don't think you'll get too many crying calls for 75bb on this river.
I guess its hard for me to put him on many hands that he takes this line w/, that you beat, AND pays you off enough to make up for the times he does have a full house.
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