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Old 11-25-2007, 07:42 AM
mAkCQRE mAkCQRE is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: the heart of europe
Posts: 26
Default Re: 2pair facing river shove on 50NL

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I believe your range is off; a villain running 12.7/.9/1.5 WILL NOT be raising hands like AJ, AQ, and typically even AK preflop. When a villain has a preflop-raise lower than 1 it is fairly safe to say he is raising QQ+ and sometimes AK. The VPIP of 12.7 tells us that he is also limping a fairly tight range, meaning that he is essentially only playing any combination of royal cards and pocket pairs. You have to consider that despite the odds you are getting on the flop you are completely dominated and will often be drawing dead or to a split pot. Furthermore, with an aggression factor of 1.5, I would not expect our villain to be showing down flush draws very often. This seems like a hand reading issue more than anything.

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i am aware he isnt raising AQ, AJ. However he called after 2 limper, does that not possibly put lower suited Aces in his range too? I guess that depends on the player and cant be read from stats right?
And yes this is a hand reading issue, the main reason why i posted the hand was because what he really had just boggled my mind.
Results: i fold and he shows down 7s5s, i was like "wtf? o0"
shorty had A9 btw
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