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Old 11-24-2007, 08:38 PM
Suwalski Suwalski is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Simply not there
Posts: 587
Default Re: Pull the trigger? (100NL)

Really it's hard to say for us, even though you've described SOME history. But really, this 4bet is clearly not a bluff as it is too big, so he folds around 0%, we have no FE. We're never calling this bet because the rest of the hand will be a real bitch to play unless we flop a jack. You've already put 20$ in, so you need to pay 80$ more to win around 205 or so.

80/205=0.4

We need around 40% against his range for this to be good. Let's open up pokerstove!
Against QQ+,AK this is not good, since we have 36% equity, same with JJ+,AK. If he does this with TT+,AK we have 43% and pushing would be slightly EV, if you also think he value 4bets with AQ hands, it becomes even more EV.
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