Re: 50NL fold Aces here? (ugh I hate saying that!!)
I haven't seen this all that much (flatting in the BB with JJ/QQ/KK) so far. If I think it's something like...20% overpair/75% set/2pair 5% bluff...
I'm paying 41.60 to win 127.95. Let's say it's roughly 3-1
Let's also say that me hitting an A and him hitting (if he has an overpair) cancel out.
75% of the time, I lose 41.60: EV= -31
25% of the time, I win 128.00: EV= +27
I could be off on these percentages and I can't say I have enough hands at this level to estimate more accurately. Any thoughts?
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