Re: RYANCMU teaches struggling NL50 and NL100 players
Re the AQo example (I don't want to clutter the thread by repeating it all):
You are saying that 3betting forces your opponent to either turn his hand more or less face up or fold. He will fold more than half the time. (actually I expect to get a fold more like 2 in 3 but w/e).
In any case, the pf folds don't entirely fund this exercise. Sometimes he 4bets and we fold. Sometimes he flatcalls and we have to play a flop. I am thinking we likely lose at least as many flops as we win, particularly with AQo.
In your example, you suggest his calling range might be 4% -say AA-TT, AKo, AQs+. I guess there is a slight bias away from the ultrapremium end of that range bc most guys would 4bet at least half the time with AA/KK and maybe more.
Now, a large chunk of that range is AK. So with AQo, we have a pretty acute domination problem and can't safely play an A hi flop.
My point is, are we not better off substituting a bunch of suited aces or pocket pairs for AQo. That way we can maintain a similar 3bet frequency, we hit the flop less often but we get a lock when we do, and can take a whole stack. We can also still do the c-bets on boards that are likely to be dangerous to our opponents.
What do you think?
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