Re: [150NL] 88 Flopped set 550bb\'s Deep
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He probably views your hand as 44 or something he has beat, two pair or w/e
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Besides A8, what other possible 2-pair could op have here? And if villain views op's range as 44...why the hell would he shove AK?
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i mean, cmon. count the combos of a8, count the combos of 44... then ignore all that b/c people are going to push top
two.
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but more specifically, does a 23/12/1.5 push top two here (i have yet to see this at 1/2, but obv you'd know better)? and even if he does do this w/ AK sometimes, it cant be near 100%. You said that we cant weight the ranges more strongly toward a set - not sure why not...
If we weight it more heavily toward a set, and also determine our price from the point when we get 3 bet on the turn, then we have to be right closer to 40% of the time, and are not even close.
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