[Fiasco]

I think theres just a ton of variance to it. In my tiny sample set of 275 @ the 16s ive got
1. 23%
2. 10%
3. 12%

I attribute this almost exclusively to winning a ton of flips.

If I could add one strategic thought to HU play it would be that sometimes you can sort of tell that your opponent is waiting for good cards to make a stand because hes not calling any of your shoves and hes folding the SB every time. In these cases Im gonna keep shoving ATC till he finds something he likes or I get him down to a place where I know hes gonna call, and I become a little more selective there.