Re: NL25, hero has a Premium Hand and faces a 4BB bet and a raise to 8
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To answer the OP, stack sizes are such that calling to set-mine is marginal.
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I daresay itīs -EV. Pure setmining, that is, w/o hope for making the best hand as an overpair.
I think the odds against making a set are like 8.5:1. Plus, on rare occasions we loose to a higher set. Plus, sometimes the original raiser will reraise, either big (we have to fold) or small (we have to call again then if the sandwich villain doesnīt shove), so we need to win like estimated ~11 times our investment every time we make a set. That is $22 and more than the stack of the original raiser. I donīt setmine here.
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I'd agree that against one opponent, it's definitely -EV, but the possibility of hitting and stacking both players has to add some value here, no? I'm not sure on the math for this, but this is why I said it was borderline as opposed to strictly -EV.
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