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Old 11-22-2007, 11:03 AM
elindauer elindauer is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: analyzing hand ranges
Posts: 2,966
Default Re: When to give up when you miss

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PF: Probably raise is close since BB is tight, but you had a poster in CO.

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With a tight BB, raising is the only option. Clearly folding is out, and you are getting 3:1 to fold the 3rd guy. Your raise buys tons of flop fold equity as well.

The poster will likely fold the flop more than half the time, and he's not folding the flop after hitting it even if you check. All upside for a preflop raise.

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Turn: I check this, the T also can easily hit the villains range and getting raised here sucks.

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You will be raised very rarely given villains range. Fearing that the T is going to turn his hand into a raisable hand is just fearing monsters. You have a nice draw anyways, so when you get raised, it really doesn't suck, in fact. Sucking is getting raised holding a gutshot + overcard or something like that... the kind of hand you may have to just barely fold if raised, but would really like to see the river.

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Betting here is horrible, only hands that have you beat are calling.

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That's the definition of a bluff. That's not horrible, it's poker.

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You beat some busted draws, but they arent calling your bet and will check behind you (unless the villain is capable of bluffing the river).

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You mean, unless the villain is a poker player? How many players aren't capable of bluffing the river with a busted draw?! Have you ever met a player like this?

Given this, your bet serves as a dual role as a blocker in a spot where you may have the best hand and don't want to be moved off the pot.

-eric
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