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Old 11-22-2007, 10:26 AM
elindauer elindauer is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: analyzing hand ranges
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Default Re: bottom 2-pair on the turn

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I think that 66 and 55 are more reasonable hands for the villain to hold than K6 or K5.

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I agree with this due to the preflop 3-bet, but none of these hands are very likely, particularly since we hold 65 ourselves. There is only 1 combo of 66 and 55 left, and he probably doesn't 3-bet that preflop (typical player I mean... I don't know anything about THIS guy).

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His play here is consistent with AK or AA...

...I would be tempted to take the line of just calling down...

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AA = 6
AK = 12

KK = 3
QQ = 3
KQ = 9

That's slightly in favor of you being beaten (18:15) if you completely discount AQ. Of course, he'll have other random hands at times... a random JT or bluff going all the way. Calling down feels too passive but might be reasonable.
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