Re: Money bubble: $6.50, 18-man turbo
Someone may have to check my math I am new at this.
Lets assume he calls with any pocket pair, any ace, KQ, and KJ.
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.214% 27.77% 00.45% 1643080668 26545554.00 { 72o }
Hand 1: 71.786% 71.34% 00.45% 4221550848 26545554.00 { 22+, A2s+, KJs+, A2o+, KJo+ }
Your 1400 + BB's 1400 expected call makes the pot 2800. 27o wont quite make the cut at 2:1.
But with as little as 45o you have the equity
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 33.451% 32.97% 00.48% 1951142712 28422444.00 { 54o }
Hand 1: 66.549% 66.07% 00.48% 3909735024 28422444.00 { 22+, A2s+, KJs+, A2o+, KJo+ }
So not any any two cards but virtually any two for this exercise, also I do not think you should play to outlast this player, play for the win.
Edit: Like i said i could be off on my math but it looks right.
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