[aislephive]

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I have stoved this. The best equity I can find is 33%. And this is being generous by including some slow played KK.

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Wtf range are you giving him?

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

49,500 games 0.015 secs 3,300,000 games/sec

Board: 2d 9d 8h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.840% 41.79% 00.05% 20684 27.00 { AdJd }
Hand 1: 58.160% 58.11% 00.05% 28762 27.00 { 88+, 22, Kd8d, Qd8d, Jd8d, Td8d, 98s, 8d7d, 8d6d, 8d5d, 7d6d, 6d5d, 98o }

My range is a little wide probably but at worst we're going to have like 38-40% equity against his range. TT+ may seem unlikely, but he also likely raises 88-99 preflop as well and his play reeks of a draw / scared overpair imo more than a set. I think 89 is a very likely hand here as well.

It's a marginal decision, but it's +EV and you should call.

I also do not like raising the flop, we don't want to chase out inferior draws behind us and if you really think villain is looking to bet/3bet a set or two pair then you obviously don't want to give him that opportunity.

Plus raise/folding the NFD with these stacks is gross.