Re: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
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So it's essentially Iowa or bust for Huckabee, and I think the results show how many resources he's putting into the same. As far as the strategic calculation, the Iowa bounce propelled Kerry to the nomination in 2004, but meant nothing for Dole and Pat Robertson in 1988. So it's a gamble, for sure. Even if he wins Iowa, he's going to have to scramble very fast to get ready for a multi-state campaign. I'm not sure he's as well-positioned for that right now as Romney or Giuliani, but 2 months is a long time.
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Huckabee's got a money problem. Even if he wins or finishes a close second in Iowa, he has no time to (a) raise money or (b) actually campagin in NH. Right now he is getting good press. He needs that continue to overcome the lack of campaign funds. It might be better for Huckabee to write off NH. Not his type of state, anyway. Just go from Iowa to South Carolina.
People should have seen this coming when Huckabee did very well in the summer straw poll in Iowa, despite spending a fraction of what Romney spent.
By the way, there was a thread a few months ago about a rape case in Arkansas involving a relative of Bill Clinton. It was suggested that Huckabee intervened inappropriately on behalf of the rapist. He was asked about this on Fox News a few days ago. Of course he claimed he did nothing wrong, but it is an issue that might resurface.
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