Thread: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
View Single Post
  #20  
Old 11-21-2007, 10:37 PM
TomCollins TomCollins is offline
Senior Member
  
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Approving of Iron\'s Moderation
Posts: 7,517
Default Re: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
[ QUOTE ]
Thats what I don't understand. I don't know anyone who has even heard of Huckabee, and yet, he is polling ahead of RP. I admit there must be some bias in my circle, but I certainly believe RP has made bigger waves than Huckabee around the country.
intrade.com lets you bet on politics I believe. They have RP at about 6% right now. If you are betting with Iron for 14%, you might as well take the 6% too. If the trade rises to 12% you'll double up.

[/ QUOTE ]

Polling at 14% in NH doesn't mean that RP has a 14% chance of winning the Republican Nomination. I'd love to take 17/3 odds against RP winning the nomination. IMO its probably close to 7% that he wins the nomination right now.
Reply With Quote