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Old 11-21-2007, 09:42 PM
crunchi crunchi is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 206
Default Re: 100nl: shoving turn with middle pair is FUN!

I had a play with stove. Villain needs to fold 70% of the time for this to be a breakeven play. According to my range villain will only fold 60% of the time and we only have 10% equity when called, so this is -EV.

To make the play +EV we would need either:
-smaller effective stacks, probably around $80
-Better equity when called
-Or a huge read that villain floats a lot.

FWIW, i actually called his turn bet. River went check, check and villain showed AKo, MHIG [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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